By Zach Foster
Yesterday the President announced his intention to run for reelection in 2012, in case there was ever any doubt. There have been mixed reactions in the combined rat race and battle royale slap fight that is American politics. Republicans and anyone else who has more than a slight dislike for the President, his administration, and his actions are already groaning about the very idea of enduring (what they perceive to be) four more years of Stalinist oppression.
The fact of the matter looms over the heads of those who are aware of it and possibly dread it: Barack Obama will be reelected.
Why? Well, the reasons are simple.
Obama is an incumbent President, and incumbents usually are elected to serve additional terms. After all, they’re already in office and their political party already has power—the hard part is over—and now they simply need to defend their power and incumbency against the challenger. Though incumbent Presidents have lost reelection campaigns periodically throughout American history, this tends to be the exception compared to the number of Presidential reelections.
Obama has not completely cut off his support. Yes, he has broken campaign promises, though he isn’t the first and won’t be the last politician to do so. He promised in his first campaign to oppose tax cuts, but early this year made a quid pro quo with Congressional Republicans to extend the Bush era tax cuts. He made a large stink out of ending the Iraq War and withdrawing at least one
brigade a month, essentially abandoning the Iraqi forces. However, after his swearing in he was forced to abandon his naïve campaign views and realized the seriousness of a Vietnam-style withdrawal and the serious implications of a power vacuum in Iraq. American troops are being withdrawn, but only slowly, as the Iraq War is winding down but not yet over. Obama mirrored George W. Bush’s Iraq War surge and implemented a similar strategy in U.S. , much to the chagrin of his staunch anti-war supporters. The one major campaign promise he has been able to deliver is passage of a health care reform bill, though it is highly inefficient, socialist in nature, and will prove to be very costly to the national coffers in the long run. Afghanistan
The most significant reason that Obama will be reelected is simply that the Republicans have no one to challenge him with. While House Republicans like to console themselves with the fact that they repealed the health care reform act within the House itself, they ignore the fact they are in the minority in the Senate and will never get the law legally repealed in this session of Congress. Yes, it is true that there are Republican members of Congress (mostly from the House) and governors who are honorable civil servants, but not one of these Republicans has proven to be a popular leader within the Party, nor have any of them inspired Republicans with the Reagan/Palin charisma that the GOP fell in love with. The only likely poster boy for the GOP at the moment is Donald Trump, the self-nominated candidate and self-appointed Messiah.
Continued in Part 2: "Really, Trump is the best the GOP has to offer?!"